Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.631766 0.716267 0.806379 0.909463 1.023952 1.147035 1.289193
2025-08-31 0.496771 0.612996 0.746104 0.909127 1.102658 1.324288 1.596482
2025-09-07 0.407936 0.544624 0.711783 0.929536 1.203787 1.535665 1.965352
2025-09-14 0.329086 0.473868 0.662318 0.922378 1.268224 1.708182 2.305315
2025-09-21 0.275806 0.426238 0.633673 0.935381 1.356702 1.916925 2.709333
2025-09-28 0.225959 0.374163 0.590258 0.920717 1.403882 2.073297 3.056755
2025-10-05 0.200014 0.352316 0.585661 0.958505 1.525735 2.339730 3.574626
2025-10-12 0.178221 0.332897 0.581181 0.994422 1.646501 2.612688 4.121597
2025-10-19 0.154508 0.306019 0.560706 1.001886 1.723134 2.825142 4.594356
2025-10-26 0.134029 0.281039 0.539420 1.004404 1.790427 3.026469 5.062488
2025-11-02 0.116714 0.258701 0.519215 1.005437 1.853781 3.224325 5.536551
2025-11-09 0.102018 0.238718 0.500192 1.005553 1.914189 3.419955 6.017856
2025-11-16 0.089916 0.222078 0.485496 1.012327 1.987604 3.643898 6.563452
2025-11-23 0.077844 0.203261 0.463964 1.003714 2.032553 3.822942 7.046526
2025-11-30 0.069967 0.192270 0.456427 1.020669 2.124719 4.088093 7.690058
2025-12-07 0.060686 0.176173 0.435994 1.009565 2.163049 4.261107 8.185558
2025-12-14 0.054476 0.166328 0.427508 1.021504 2.245780 4.517778 8.841291
2025-12-21 0.047038 0.151768 0.406391 1.004322 2.269458 4.667844 9.315453
2025-12-28 0.044153 0.148841 0.411585 1.044224 2.410315 5.043007 10.216255
2026-01-04 0.041395 0.145722 0.415861 1.082366 2.550245 5.424284 11.147883
2026-01-11 0.037278 0.137765 0.407170 1.090040 2.626903 5.688608 11.875485
2026-01-18 0.033386 0.129616 0.396797 1.092518 2.692317 5.934362 12.580190
2026-01-25 0.029880 0.121875 0.386331 1.093481 2.754151 6.176085 13.288864